
\begin{table}
\caption{Regression estimates of the association between prior foreign aid (using aid commitment volumes from AidData) and CPA implementation at the post-CPA year level, without control variables. Implementation scores range from 2 to 95. See text for detailed description of estimators.}
\begin{center}
\begin{scriptsize}
\begin{tabular}{l D{.}{.}{5.3} D{.}{.}{3.3} D{.}{.}{3.3}}
\toprule
 & \multicolumn{1}{c}{Within-Between random effects for post-conflict periods} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{Prais-Winsten FGLS with conflict-specific AR(1) autocorrelation and PCSEs} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{Country fixed effects and robust SEs} \\
\midrule
AidData Foreign aid commitments (within effect)    & 6.67^{*}   &           &           \\
                                                   & (2.57)     &           &           \\
AidData Foreign aid commitments (between effect)   & 3.59       &           &           \\
                                                   & (8.87)     &           &           \\
AidData Foreign aid commitments (composite effect) &            & 4.02      & 7.83^{*}  \\
                                                   &            & (2.46)    & (2.54)    \\
Years since conflict (logged)                      & 14.64^{*}  & 16.25^{*} & 15.64^{*} \\
                                                   & (0.64)     & (0.55)    & (1.11)    \\
Region fixed effects (baseline: East Asia)         &            &           &           \\
                                                   &            &           &           \\
\quad Europe & Central Asia                        & 8.35       & -0.51     &           \\
                                                   & (13.10)    & (4.62)    &           \\
\quad Latin America & Caribbean                    & 5.68       & 8.58      &           \\
                                                   & (16.03)    & (9.36)    &           \\
\quad Middle East & North Africa                   & -10.75     & -7.69     &           \\
                                                   & (14.88)    & (7.64)    &           \\
\quad South Asia                                   & -27.52^{*} & -17.92    &           \\
                                                   & (12.88)    & (11.69)   &           \\
\quad Sub-Saharan Africa                           & -3.56      & 2.45      &           \\
                                                   & (11.01)    & (3.24)    &           \\
Intercept                                          & 45.33^{*}  & 41.33^{*} &           \\
                                                   & (11.15)    & (3.06)    &           \\
\midrule
AIC                                                & 2350.46    &           &           \\
BIC                                                & 2395.79    &           &           \\
Log Likelihood                                     & -1163.23   &           &           \\
Num. obs.                                          & 323        & 323       & 323       \\
Num. groups: pam\_caseid                           & 34         &           &           \\
Num. groups: pam\_year\_count                      & 10         &           &           \\
Var: pam\_caseid (Intercept)                       & 304.47     &           &           \\
Var: pam\_year\_count (Intercept)                  & 0.00       &           &           \\
Var: Residual                                      & 62.60      &           &           \\
R$^2$                                              &            & 0.64      & 0.81      \\
Num. groups                                        &            & 34        &           \\
Adj. R$^2$                                         &            &           & 0.78      \\
RMSE                                               &            &           & 10.09     \\
\bottomrule
\multicolumn{4}{l}{\tiny{Standard errors in parentheses. $^* p < 0.05$ (two-tailed test).}}
\end{tabular}
\end{scriptsize}
\label{tab:m_aidd_comm_nocontrols}
\end{center}
\end{table}
